What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Blackburn and 1.3 from Sheffield United, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sheffield United come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.5 goals (xG 1.3-1.3), and three is enough to land it, landing about 51% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.89, which works out at about 53 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
An early goal can kill the tempo just as easily as spark it, and a quiet second half leaves this short. We make it about 51% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
