How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Lincoln to win 58%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Blackpool and 1.8 from Lincoln, so Lincoln come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Lincoln come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Lincoln to win. Lincoln shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.8), and we make them about 59% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.39, which works out at about 42 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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