How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Arsenal to win 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Ipswich and 2.1 from Arsenal, so Arsenal come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Arsenal come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Arsenal to win. Arsenal shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-2.0), and we make them about 72% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Arsenal have won two of the last two meetings.
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