How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Tottenham to score 1 or fewer 81%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.1 goals from Liverpool and 1.1 from Tottenham, so Liverpool come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Tottenham come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Tottenham to score 1 or fewer. This is about Tottenham's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 81%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Liverpool have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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