How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Ceramica Cleopatra to win 44%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Ceramica Cleopatra host National Bank at home in the Egypt Premier League on 14 September 2026. Ceramica sit fourth out of twenty teams with nine points from four games and a +5 goal difference. They are just one point behind Al Ahly in third place and two points ahead of Modern Sport in fifth. National Bank are down in tenth place, also on six points from four games but with a –1 goal difference. They sit in the relegation zone, level on points with Al Masry above them and one point clear of Wadi Degla below. Both clubs are looking to improve their positions, but Ceramica have more to lose in the chase for the top spots while National Bank are fighting to climb out of danger.
Ceramica Cleopatra have been in good form recently. They beat their last two opponents, winning 2-0 and then 3-1. Those results give them a total of five goals scored and only one conceded in the last two matches. The run shows a side that can find the net regularly and keep clean sheets, which should give them confidence heading into this fixture.
National Bank have had a mixed run. Their most recent games were a 1-2 loss to a side above them and a 0-0 draw against a team below them. The loss saw them concede two goals while the draw kept their defence unbeaten but added no goals. The most recent result, the 0-0 draw, highlighted their difficulty in scoring, even though they managed to hold an opponent without reply. Overall they have scored just one goal in their last two matches while conceding two.
When the two clubs have met before, the games have tended to be low-scoring affairs. Both sides have struggled to find the net against each other, and the recent form of each team suggests a similar pattern could repeat. Ceramica’s stronger attack and tighter defence give them the edge, but National Bank’s recent clean sheet shows they can keep things tight. We expect another modest game with a few chances, likely decided by the team that can finish its chances first.
We pick Ceramica Cleopatra to win. The numbers put Ceramica at about 1.5 goals expected compared with National Bank’s 1.1, and they have an 80 % chance of scoring at all. The price of 2.60 is longer than our own reading, which gives Ceramica a roughly 45 % chance to win. The price looks good for a side that should dominate the match. For our pick to go wrong, Ceramica would need to be shut out completely and National Bank would have to score twice, something that looks unlikely given the recent form of both teams.
Recent results
Ceramica Cleopatra have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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