How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Smouha SC or Draw 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Petrojet-Suez and 1.1 from Smouha SC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Smouha SC come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Smouha SC or Draw. This covers Smouha SC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Smouha SC have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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