How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Pyramids FC to win 65%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Pyramids FC host Wadi Degla FC at home in the Egypt Premier League on 29 October 2026. Pyramids sit top of the 20-team table with 21 points from seven games and a +14 goal difference. One place behind them, Zamalek are two points off the lead. Wadi Degla are down in 14th place with seven points and a –1 goal difference, just above the relegation zone. The match could widen the gap at the top and give the leaders a chance to pull clear, while a win for Wadi Degla would be a rare lift for a side fighting to stay up.
Pyramids arrive on a perfect run of eight straight victories, five of them at home. Their recent results are 4-0 against El Merriekh FC Bentiu at home, 4-1 away at Tala’ea El Gaish, 1-0 away at El Merriekh FC Bentiu, 4-1 at home versus Ceramica Cleopatra, 3-2 at home over Olympic El Qanah, and 2-1 away at Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI. In those eight games they have scored 24 goals and let in only six, keeping three clean sheets. Six of the matches featured three or more goals and both sides scored in five of them, showing a strong attacking edge.
Wadi Degla come into the game after two consecutive draws. Their last eight outings include a 1-1 home draw with National Bank, a 2-2 away draw with Petrojet-Suez, a 1-0 away win over Al Ittihad Alexandria, a 2-0 home loss to Al Mokawloon Al Arab, a 2-1 away defeat by Modern Sport, and a 0-0 home draw with Olympic El Qanah. Over those games they have scored eight and conceded eight, with three clean sheets but also three matches where they failed to find the net. Their recent road form is two wins, one draw and one loss, indicating they can pick up points away from home.
In the five most recent meetings between the sides, Pyramids have won three times, there have been two draws and Wadi Degla have not won. Those games have produced an average of 1.8 goals. The last encounter ended in a 0-0 stalemate on 8 August 2025. Given the history of low-scoring affairs and the current form, we expect a game where Pyramids will press for a goal but the visitors will be hard to break down.
Our pick is a Pyramids win. The numbers give Pyramids an expected 1.8 goals to Wadi Degla’s 0.8, and we see a 65 % chance of that result. The price of 1.41 is shorter than our own reading, so it looks attractive. For the pick to go wrong Pyramids would need to be shut out and the match finish level or the visitors would have to score twice, something that has only happened in 16 % of their games. If that rare scenario occurs the result could surprise, but the balance of evidence points to a home win.
Recent results
Pyramids FC have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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