How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Cracovia to score 1 or fewer 73%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from GKS Katowice and 1.0 from Cracovia, so GKS Katowice come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
GKS Katowice come into this on three straight defeats. Cracovia come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Cracovia to score 1 or fewer. This is about Cracovia's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 2-2, with no drawn.
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