How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 58%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Piast Gliwice host Pogoń Szczecin at their home ground in the Ekstraklasa on 20 September 2026. Piast sit seventh in the 18-team table with 13 points from eight games and a +2 goal difference. They are just two points behind Korona Kielce in sixth place and one point ahead of Pogoń, who are eighth. The match could tighten the battle for the top half of the table, with both clubs hoping to move up a spot or at least keep the gap to their neighbours.
Piast have been on a good run lately, winning three games in a row. Their most recent victories were a 2-0 win away at Radomiak Radom, a 3-0 triumph at home over GKS Katowice and a 2-0 away success against Motor Lublin. Before that they drew 1-1 with Legia at home, then suffered a 4-3 loss to Wieczysta Krakow on their own turf and a 3-0 defeat away to Lech Poznan. In the last eight matches they have scored 15 goals and let in 13, keeping three clean sheets while failing to find the net twice. Four of those games produced three or more goals and both sides scored in three of them.
Pogoń Szczecin have also been solid, unbeaten in their last six outings. Their latest results include a 2-0 home win over Wieczysta Krakow, a 1-1 draw with Wisła Płock at home, a goalless draw away at Zagłębie, a 2-2 home draw with Wisła, a 3-1 home victory over Motor Lublin and a 2-0 away win against Cracovia. Over those eight games they have scored 11 and conceded only six, with three clean sheets and two matches where they did not score. Four of the fixtures featured three or more goals and both teams found the net in four of them.
When the two sides have met in the last five meetings, Piast have won twice and Pogoń three times, with no draws. Those games have averaged just over two goals each. The most recent encounter, on 13 April 2026, ended in a 0-2 win for Pogoń at Piast’s ground. Given the recent form of both clubs and the history of relatively low-scoring but occasionally open games, we expect another match where both teams are likely to get on the scoresheet.
Our pick is for both teams to score. Both sides have enough attacking threat – Piast average about 1.4 goals and Pogoń about 1.2 per game – and the chance of each side scoring is high. The price of 1.55 is shorter than our own reading, which makes it attractive. We think the game will produce at least two goals, with each team finding the net. It would go wrong only if one side shuts out the other, which is less likely given the recent clean-sheet records and the fact that both teams have failed to score in only two of their last eight games.
Recent results
Pogon Szczecin have won three of the last five meetings.
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