How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Motor Lublin to score 73%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Motor Lublin and 1.6 from Gornik Zabrze, so Gornik Zabrze come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Motor Lublin come into this on three straight defeats. Gornik Zabrze come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Motor Lublin to score. This is about Motor Lublin's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Motor Lublin have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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