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Football/Ekstraklasa/Gornik Zabrze v GKS Katowice
Ekstraklasa · Stadion im Ernesta Pohla

Gornik Zabrze v GKS Katowice: how it went

Gornik Zabrze crestGornik ZabrzeWWWWW
2 - 3
GKS Katowice crestGKS Katowice9th of 18 · 12 ptsDLWLW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 70%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.5 goals from Gornik Zabrze and 1.1 from GKS Katowice, so Gornik Zabrze come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Gornik Zabrze come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.6 goals in total (xG 1.5-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 73%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.
✓GKS Katowice have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last four meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

28 Feb 2026GKS Katowice 3 - 1 Gornik Zabrze
23 Aug 2025Gornik Zabrze 3 - 0 GKS Katowice
30 Mar 2025GKS Katowice 2 - 1 Gornik Zabrze
21 Sept 2024Gornik Zabrze 3 - 0 GKS Katowice
The last four meetings are split 2-2, with no drawn.

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