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Football/Ekstraklasa/Rakow v Jagiellonia
Ekstraklasa

Rakow v Jagiellonia prediction

Rakow crestRakowWWLLL
v
Jagiellonia crestJagielloniaDWWWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Rakow and 1.2 from Jagiellonia, so Rakow come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Rakow come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Rakow have won two of their last five.
Jagiellonia have won three of their last five.
Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

13 May 2026Rakow 0 - 2 Jagiellonia
2 Nov 2025Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Rakow
10 May 2025Rakow 1 - 2 Jagiellonia
10 Nov 2024Jagiellonia 2 - 2 Rakow
10 Dec 2023Jagiellonia 4 - 2 Rakow
Jagiellonia have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

One thing to watch

If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. The price is shorter than our own read of about 55%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

More Ekstraklasa fixtures

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