How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Legia to score 1 or fewer 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Gornik Zabrze and 1.1 from Legia, so Gornik Zabrze come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Gornik Zabrze come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Legia to score 1 or fewer. This is about Legia's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 69%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Legia have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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