How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 77%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Wisla Plock and 1.1 from Piast Gliwice, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.1 goals in total (xG 1.1-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 80%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Piast Gliwice have won three of the last five meetings.
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