What to expect
We expect about 2.5 goals from Bodo/Glimt and 0.7 from Sandefjord, so Bodo/Glimt come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Bodo/Glimt come into this on five straight wins. Sandefjord come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. We make this around 3.2 goals (xG 2.5-0.7), so the line leaves room: it takes five or more to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 80%).
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
