How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Both teams to score 63%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Brann host Viking at home in the Eliteserien on 9 October 2026. Brann sit seventh in the 16-team table with 29 points from 21 games and a +7 goal difference. They are three points behind Lillestrøm in sixth place and one point ahead of Fredrikstad in eighth. Viking sit on top with 50 points, a +34 goal difference and a place that secures a European slot. One spot below them sits Bodø/Glimt on the same points. Both sides have a lot to play for – Brann want to climb back into the top half, while Viking look to keep their lead intact.
Brann’s recent form shows a mixed picture. In their last eight matches they have won four, drawn one and lost three. The most recent results are a 2-1 loss away to Start, a 2-1 home win over Bodø/Glimt, another 2-1 home win over Bodø/Glimt, a 2-1 away win at Os, a 2-0 loss away to Start and a 2-1 home defeat by Lillestrøm. At home in the last four games they have three wins and one loss. In those eight games Brann have scored 11 and let in 9, kept two clean sheets and failed to score in two matches. Six of the games featured three or more goals and both sides have found the net in five of them.
Viking arrive on a four-match winning streak. In their last eight games they have won five, drawn one and lost two. Their recent scores are a 3-0 away win at Madla, a 3-0 home win over Lillestrøm, another 3-0 home win over Lillestrøm, an 8-1 home victory against Kristiansund, a 3-1 away loss to VfB Stuttgart and a 1-1 away draw with Sandefjord. On the road in the last four games they have one win, one draw and two defeats. Across those eight matches Viking have scored 22 and conceded only 8, keeping three clean sheets. Seven of the games have produced three or more goals and both sides have scored in five of them.
The two clubs have met five times recently. Viking have won two of those meetings, Brann one and two have ended in draws. The games have been high-scoring, averaging 3.2 goals each. The most recent encounter was on 18 April 2026 when Viking edged Brann 3-2. Given the history of open matches and the fact that both teams have been involved in games with three or more goals, we can expect another encounter with chances at both ends.
Our pick is both teams to score. Brann are expected to find the net 74 % of the time and Viking 83 % of the time. The chance of both sides scoring sits at 63 % in our view. The price of 1.42 is shorter than we feel the game deserves, which makes the bet look attractive. For the pick to fail, both sides would need to keep a clean sheet – a scenario that looks unlikely given the recent goal-rich games and the average of more than three goals in their last meetings. We think a goal from each side is the most probable outcome.
Recent results
Viking have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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