What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Fredrikstad and 1.9 from Bodo/Glimt, so Bodo/Glimt come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Fredrikstad come into this on four straight wins. Bodo/Glimt come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Bodo/Glimt to win. Bodo/Glimt shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.9), and we make them about 64% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Fredrikstad a draw or better. The price is shorter than our own read of about 64%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
