How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Fredrikstad (Draw No Bet) 67%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Fredrikstad and 0.9 from Kristiansund, so Fredrikstad come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Fredrikstad come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Fredrikstad (Draw No Bet). Fredrikstad are favoured here (xG 1.5-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Fredrikstad defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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