How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made KFUM Oslo (Draw No Bet) 61%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from KFUM Oslo and 1.1 from Lillestrom, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
KFUM Oslo come into this on two straight wins. Lillestrom come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: KFUM Oslo (Draw No Bet). KFUM Oslo are favoured here (xG 1.3-1.1), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a KFUM Oslo defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Lillestrom win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 61%: a lean, not a lock.