What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Sarpsborg 08 and 1.0 from Sandefjord, so Sarpsborg 08 come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sarpsborg 08 come into this on two straight defeats. Sandefjord come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sarpsborg 08 (Draw No Bet). Sarpsborg 08 are favoured here (xG 1.5-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Sarpsborg 08 defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Sandefjord win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. The price is shorter than our own read of about 70%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
