How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Viking (Draw No Bet) 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Rosenborg and 1.7 from Viking, so Viking come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Rosenborg come into this on two straight wins. Viking come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Viking (Draw No Bet). Viking are favoured here (xG 1.4-1.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Viking defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.89, which works out at about 53 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Rosenborg win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 65% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.