Start v HamKam: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.6 goals from Start and 1.4 from HamKam, so Start come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Start come into this on two straight wins. HamKam come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Start to score 2 or fewer. This is about Start's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 79%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.