How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Under 4.5 goals 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Den Haag and 1.7 from For Sittard, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. We make this around 3.1 goals (xG 1.4-1.7), so the line leaves room: it takes five or more to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 74%).
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
