How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Under 4.5 goals 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.2 goals from Heerenveen and 1.1 from Zwolle, so Heerenveen come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Zwolle come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 3.3 goals in total (xG 2.2-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 79%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
