What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from PSV Eindhoven and 1.5 from Feyenoord, so PSV Eindhoven come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Feyenoord come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.5 goals between the two (xG 2.0-1.5), landing about 77% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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