What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Telstar and 1.8 from Utrecht, so Utrecht come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Telstar come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Utrecht have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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