How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals and the game finished with 4. We made FCI Levadia to win 81%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.8 goals from FCI Levadia and 0.6 from FC Kuressaare, so FCI Levadia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: FCI Levadia to win. FCI Levadia are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.8-0.6), and we make them about 82% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.16, which works out at about 86 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
