How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Pärnu JK Vaprus or Draw 74%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Pärnu JK Vaprus and 1.1 from Narva Trans, so Pärnu JK Vaprus come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Pärnu JK Vaprus come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Pärnu JK Vaprus or Draw. This covers Pärnu JK Vaprus or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Narva Trans have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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