How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 4. We made Tammeka or Draw 70%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Tammeka and 1.5 from Nõmme United, so Tammeka come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Tammeka come into this on two straight defeats. Nõmme United come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Tammeka or Draw. This covers Tammeka or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Tammeka have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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