How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Tammeka or Draw 64%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Tammeka and 1.4 from Harju Jalgpallikool, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Tammeka or Draw. This covers Tammeka or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Tammeka have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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