How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Paide Linnameeskond or Draw 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Pärnu JK Vaprus and 1.7 from Paide Linnameeskond, so Paide Linnameeskond come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Paide Linnameeskond or Draw. This covers Paide Linnameeskond or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Paide Linnameeskond have won three of the last five meetings.
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