What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Ferencvarosi TC and 0.9 from Trabzonspor, so Ferencvarosi TC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Ferencvarosi TC (Draw No Bet). Ferencvarosi TC are favoured here (xG 1.5-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Ferencvarosi TC defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Trabzonspor win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 68%: a lean, not a lock.
