Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia prediction

What to expect

We expect about 2.2 goals from Levski Sofia and 0.8 from Jagiellonia, so Levski Sofia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Jagiellonia come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Levski Sofia (Draw No Bet). Levski Sofia are favoured here (xG 2.4-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Levski Sofia defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.