What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Nijmegen and 1.6 from Omonia Nicosia, so Nijmegen come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Nijmegen or Draw. This covers Nijmegen or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Nijmegen have won one of their last five.
✓Omonia Nicosia have won two of their last five.
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