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Football/FA Cup/Carlisle v Salford
FA Cup

Carlisle v Salford prediction

Carlisle crestCarlisleDWWWW
v
Salford crestSalfordWWWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Carlisle and 1.6 from Salford, so Salford come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Carlisle come into this on four straight wins. Salford come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Salford or Draw. This covers Salford or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Carlisle are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Salford are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

3 May 2025Carlisle 2 - 2 Salford
9 Nov 2024Salford 0 - 1 Carlisle
29 Apr 2023Carlisle 2 - 3 Salford
19 Nov 2022Salford 1 - 4 Carlisle
1 Feb 2022Salford 2 - 1 Carlisle

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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More FA Cup fixtures

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Barnsley crestBarnsleyvAldershotAldershot crest★★★★★
Barnsley are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-1.1), and we make them about 71% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookBarnsley to win · 1.30Share
Every game on Saturday, 7 November 2026 →
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