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Football/FA Cup/Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon
FA Cup · Stadium MK

Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon prediction

Milton Keynes Dons crestMilton Keynes DonsWLWWW
v
Swindon crestSwindonLDWDW

What to expect

We expect about 2.0 goals from Milton Keynes Dons and 1.2 from Swindon, so Milton Keynes Dons come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Milton Keynes Dons come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Milton Keynes Dons to win. Milton Keynes Dons are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-1.2), and we make them about 57% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Milton Keynes Dons have won four of their last five.
✓Swindon have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

14 Mar 2026Swindon 1 - 2 Milton Keynes Dons
26 Dec 2025Milton Keynes Dons 1 - 0 Swindon
3 May 2025Swindon 0 - 0 Milton Keynes Dons
9 Nov 2024Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 1 Swindon
17 Feb 2024Swindon 1 - 2 Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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Barnsley crestBarnsleyvAldershotAldershot crest★★★★★
Barnsley are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-1.1), and we make them about 71% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookBarnsley to win · 1.30Share
Every game on Saturday, 7 November 2026 →
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