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Football/FA Cup/Oxford v Stevenage
FA Cup · RAW Charging Stadium

Oxford v Stevenage prediction

Oxford crestOxfordDWDWD
v
Stevenage crestStevenageWLWLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Oxford and 0.9 from Stevenage, so Oxford come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Oxford or Draw. This covers Oxford or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Oxford are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Stevenage have won two of their last five.
✓Two of the last three meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last three meetings.

Recent results

22 Aug 2026Stevenage 1 - 2 Oxford
19 Apr 2024Oxford 1 - 1 Stevenage
30 Sept 2023Stevenage 1 - 3 Oxford

Oxford have won two of the last three meetings, with one drawn.

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More FA Cup fixtures

Full fixture list
Barnsley crestBarnsleyvAldershotAldershot crest★★★★★
Barnsley are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-1.1), and we make them about 71% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookBarnsley to win · 1.30Share
Every game on Saturday, 7 November 2026 →
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