How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Klaksvik to win 79%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.7 goals from 07 Vestur and 2.6 from Klaksvik, so Klaksvik come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Klaksvik to win. Klaksvik shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.7-2.6), and we make them about 81% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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