Iraklis v Levadeiakos: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Levadeiakos to score 1 or fewer 74%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.4 goals from Iraklis and 1.1 from Levadeiakos, so Iraklis come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Iraklis come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Levadeiakos to score 1 or fewer. This is about Levadeiakos's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.