How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Kifisia or Draw 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Kifisia and 1.0 from Panetolikos, so Kifisia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Panetolikos come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Kifisia or Draw. This covers Kifisia or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Panetolikos have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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