What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Olympiakos and 0.8 from Panathinaikos, so Olympiakos come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Panathinaikos come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-0.8), and we make both teams to score about 52%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.88, which works out at about 53 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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