What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Levadeiakos and 1.1 from Panetolikos, so Levadeiakos come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.9 goals between the two (xG 1.9-1.0), landing about 62% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
One thing to watch
If one side settles for what they have, or the game turns cagey, the goals can dry up in a hurry. At around 62% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
