What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from OFI Crete and 1.1 from Kifisia, so OFI Crete come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
OFI Crete come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.1), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
One thing to watch
One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 59%.
