How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 1.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Olympiakos and 0.6 from Atromitos, so Olympiakos come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 2.4 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Olympiakos have won two of their last five.
✓Atromitos have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
10 Jan 2026Atromitos 0 - 2 Olympiakos
22 Nov 2025Olympiakos 3 - 0 Atromitos
19 Jan 2025Atromitos 1 - 2 Olympiakos
29 Sept 2024Olympiakos 2 - 0 Atromitos
21 Dec 2023Atromitos 0 - 0 Olympiakos
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