How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 1.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Olympiakos and 0.6 from Atromitos, so Olympiakos come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 2.4 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Olympiakos have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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