What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Fram Reykjavík and 1.8 from Breiðablik, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Fram Reykjavík come into this on two straight draws. Breiðablik come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Fram Reykjavík to win. Fram Reykjavík are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-1.8), and we make them about 44% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 42 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.79, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
