How it turned out
We projected about 3.6 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Víkingur Reykjavík to win 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.7 goals from Víkingur Reykjavík and 0.9 from Keflavík, so Víkingur Reykjavík come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Víkingur Reykjavík come into this on two straight draws. Keflavík come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Víkingur Reykjavík to win. Víkingur Reykjavík are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.7-0.9), and we make them about 78% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.21, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Víkingur Reykjavík have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
