What to expect
We expect about 2.1 goals from Barbados and 1.6 from Saint Lucia, so Barbados come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.8 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Barbados or Draw. This covers Barbados or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.66, which works out at about 60 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
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