What to expect
Palestine host New Zealand in a friendly on 24 September 2026. Both teams are using the match to fine-tune their squads rather than chase points, so the result will not affect any competition standings. On paper New Zealand are the stronger side – the goal expectations are 1.5 for them and 1.1 for Palestine, giving a total of 2.6 goals in the game. The odds of either side finding the net are high: Palestine have a 69 % chance to score at least once and New Zealand a 77 % chance. Both teams also have a decent chance of scoring twice – 31 % for Palestine and 40 % for New Zealand.
We back New Zealand or a draw at 1.39. The price gives us a short-term return while covering the safer outcome of a stalemate, which is sensible given the lean edge New Zealand have in the goal expectations. Our confidence in this choice is 72 % – we think the odds are good and the result is likely to stay close. For the pick to go wrong, Palestine would need to score first and keep New Zealand from finding the net, or the game would have to end with a clear win for Palestine, both of which are less likely given the numbers.
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