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Football/International Friendly/Chile v Colombia
International Friendly

Chile v Colombia prediction

Chile flagChileLLWL
v
Colombia flagColombiaDLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.0 goals from Chile and 1.6 from Colombia, so Colombia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Colombia come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Colombia or Draw. This covers Colombia or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Chile have won one of their last four.
✓Colombia have won two of their last four.

Recent results

14 Nov 2026Colombia 1 - 0 Chile

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Finland are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.9-0.4), and we make them about 97% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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Every game on Tuesday, 17 November 2026 →
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