How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. We made New Zealand or Draw 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from China and 1.6 from New Zealand, so New Zealand come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: New Zealand or Draw. This covers New Zealand or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
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